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Telecom revenue has hit the bottom as overwhelming 800GbE demand raises Datacom revenue and shipments.

This report tracks the component suppliers that enable the 400GbE+ Datacom Transceiver ecosystem. It includes an overview of the types of transceivers employed, the key components that are used in those transceivers, and which vendors supply those components.

This is a summary of how OFC 2024 and the conversations we had there shaped our thoughts.

Trends in operator spending, datacenter optics, and sanity checking the optics forecast for AI applications.

Driven by sales to Cloud operators, full year 2023 revenue came in at a record $1.3B.

Cloud Spending on Optical Transport Jumps 46% in 4Q23, Traditional Service Provider Spending Remains Weak

Providing an update to our 1Q23 vendor summary and updating AOI’s quarterly results for 4Q23.

Key themes to watch – AI, 800G, and everything else

Revenues continue to be in the doldrums and the slowdown is expected to continue for a couple of quarters before growth returns.

Coherent calls the bottom in the Telecom optical components market while capitalizing on the AI-fueled Datacom boom.

Optical and routing results point to growing weakness in North American carrier capex.

Does the higher performance offered by coherent optics offer a compelling use case inside the datacenter?

Sales to Cloud operators powered $3B in optical revenue for 2023.

The price of bandwidth ($/Gbps) has declined consistently every year except 2021. In this updated report, we analyze the most recent data to determine if the trend is continuing.

Worldwide DWDM deployed bandwidth declined YoY for the first time.

Datacom revenues are recovering from the Q1 drop and are poised to explode along with 800GbE shipments in 2024. Telecom revenue continues to lag, as deployed bandwidth declined YoY for the first time this quarter.

The optical market grew 4% – cloud operators continue to invest in transport and vendors are still shipping against large backlogs.

Coherent’s revenue declined in all segments, but the company’s forecast for a return to growth in 2024 remains unchanged.

It’s all about the future for Lumentum, with a strong backlog and the incorporation of Cloud Light expected to drive increased revenues into 2024.

On November 7, Lumentum announced its acquisition of optical component manufacturer Cloud Light for approximately $750 million. This move marked an unexpected return to the datacom transceiver market for Lumentum, which sold its business in 2019 to CIG.